We're in for a cool change with the forecast this Easter Weekend. Highs in the 60s with lows in the 40s. Before the cool weather takes hold, we can expect some significant storms to move across the state ahead of a strong cool front. These storms will be packing a punch and capable of producing hail and gusty winds. The Storm Prediction Center has already issued a Slight Risk for Severe weather on Friday.
Instability with this system is somewhat low for a Spring system, but we do have some wind shear available. It's likely we will see a squall-line moving from Northwest to Southeast across the area with the greatest risk for severe storms west of I-65. Temperatures are expected to reach near 80 on Friday.
Timing: Strong to severe storms will arrive as early as 6pm and continue as late as 2am. Most of Friday will be warm and sunny during the day with the peak time for severe storms around 9pm.
What to Expect: We will likely see gusty winds over 50mph, small hail, heavy rain, and frequent cloud to ground lightning. The tornado risk with this setup remains low.
The above maps were produced based on the in-house RPM model, but the 4km NAM also suggest the same timing. Cooler air will begin to take hold after 2am with overnight lows falling into the mid 40s Saturday morning.
EASTER WEEKEND: We can expect sunny skies both Saturday and Sunday with highs in the lower to mid 60s. Morning lows will be in the 40s for Easter sunrise services. There is a small chance for showers after 8pm on Sunday with more unsettled weather returning for early next week.
Have a great evening and stay weather alert on Friday.
Fox6 Chief Meteorologist